I mean i'm just a student trying to gauge what is real and what is not. Aren't those guys long time folks who graduated like 10+ years ago and were able to secure positions more easily back then? As a med student, I'm more interested in what folks (residents) are facing when applying for jobs these days. I feel unless you're a graduating resident or currently looking for a new position, you may have a slight bias (it's easy to already be employed and dismiss the other guys' stories out there on the field).
Some of my posts may seem contradictory but I have always loved this field and loved my job, during residency and now as an attending. My qualms are with our leadership, their treatment of community physicians as second class citizens, and their complete apathy to the clear red flags because their interests aren't aligned with those of their constituents.
Medicine ebbs and flows. There was a time when you couldn't give derm positions away. Radiology went through a tough spot and is now bouncing back. Radonc was at one point a completely undesirable field, at one point brutally competitive, and now trending in the wrong direction.
I would never tell someone not to pursue a career they love, but I would say that if there were two fields you loved equally I'd choose the one with better long term prognosis. That being said, we are notoriously bad at predicting these kinds of things so be honest with yourself. I completely lucked into a position that I love in a city that I love that is close to family. Going into the process I told my fiance that it was highly unlikely we would wind up near her family and it wound up happening. It worked out for me, but 1 year later a resident who trained at a respectable program in this city had to leave his wife to finish residency because there were no jobs available.
The job market is bad. Some years it is better than others, some months it is better than others, but there could be 3 jobs available one year and none for the next 5. Just because someone gets a job they are happy with doesn't mean the job market is good. Our expectations have been driven so low that people are happy with jobs that would have been considered awful 5 years ago.
Will things bounce back? They could, but they won't. Our treatments will continue to get shorter, programs will keep expanding, satellites will keep opening up, graduating residents will continue to accept less and less to staff them. It's the clearest example of supply and demand I can think of and the people who control the supply have every interest in having a lack of demand. It means less work for attendings that are salaried anyways and less cost for the hospital system that pays these salaries.