What I am trying to get across is that for the average Joe/Jane, the reality of dentistry is not what they were thinking it would be when they were considering entering (like you and others in this thread that were pre-dental). The only way for them to be woken up is for people like me and my colleague Firm to try to warn. The problem is that confirmation bias blinds pre-dentals to what “those in the know” are trying to say.
Will everyone experience the economic pain I have been trying to warn? No, look at yourself and others who seem to be thriving. But I think that most will feel a level of economic discomfort that they were not anticipating, some perhaps very painfully.
I think the bell curve of dentists’ economic prosperity has been distorted by DSOs, insurance companies, student loans and dental school admissions.
And can you imagine those who are only doing it “for the money”. Those who really hate dentistry, or will discover that they hate it once they are out? Can you imagine the drudgery of a life like that? I can see a lot of those who see no way out except...
The only light at the end of the tunnel that I can foresee is that these DSOs usually collapse under the weight of their own inefficiencies. But that will not happen in the next ten years. Maybe twenty. Maybe.... well look at medicine, maybe it won’t get better.
I really wish I could find a way to get dentists, especially newer ones, to explain the realities to pre-dentals. If you can think of a logistical way it can be done, let me know.
I think many dentists lack perspective. I am a non-traditional student. I survived the recession working labor jobs, working 7-day 12-hour rotating shifts in the burning sun while operating heavy machinery. I did a few stints in retail as well, working with angry and entitled customers every day while pushing shopping carts around parking lots. I worked some dirty, smelly, difficult jobs throughout my 20s, endured plenty of abuse (my boss strangled a coworker as we watched in horror at one job) and didn't decide on dentistry until later. In fact, it was SDN that turned me towards dentistry.
I'm not going to tell anyone that dentistry is all roses. I have had angry patients, tough cases, failures, and it can take a toll on your back and neck. But, dentistry is infinitely better than any job I had before this. So, my positive outlook may in fact be from the perspective I have achieved from working really crummy jobs for ~10 years before dental school.
As far as thriving, I wouldn't say I am thriving... yet. I am definitely taking a huge gamble, and it has eroded my stomach lining. I am doing everything I can to bring patients in the door, and to ensure we can make payroll. I still haven't taken a paycheck, I fired my first employee just 2 weeks into ownership, and I may be firing another one just 5 months later. We took the leap into full-arch dentistry, only to learn that the ROI isn't nearly as good as we had hoped after all of the costs are accounted for. This is a tough gig, and running your own business makes it even tougher. Initially, our production grew by leaps and bounds, which meant I didn't need to associate. However, we have been slow lately, so I may have to pick up a part-time gig somewhere to subsidize the practice. It's not all roses here, I assure you. But I didn't expect it to be either. I also believe that anything worth doing is hard work.
I am happy to share my experiences with pre-dentals so they go into this field with eyes wide open. Again, having perspective from the myriad jobs I did before dental school, I still think it's a pretty awesome career. But, it isn't perfect. The thing is, I can't think of anything better. Everyone is struggling right now. No one wants to work, inflation is taking a bite out of everyone's income, interest rates are making it impossible to purchase a home or get a business loan, there is violence everywhere and it keeps getting worse, a recession is increasingly likely, and jobs that were traditionally held in high regard (medicine, education, tech) are seeing layoffs, pay cuts, and debasement. The trends we are seeing in dentistry may just be a larger phenomenon that has affected the greater economy.
Cello,
I am happy for you. I also enjoy what I do, the clinical side of things. What I do not enjoy is the economics of Orthodontics.
I think you realize just how well the “stars” lined up for you. And if the dice had to be rolled again, Lady Luck may turn smile away. Unless I am making wild assumptions without any basis in fact, I think you would say that the vast majority of your classmates are not as fortunate. You would have a better feel for this, but would you agree that, of those who did not go to a residency, the majority went to work for a DSO?
My circumstances dictated the course I took.
Here's how things could have been very different for me.
My friend who landed the highly productive job making $450k on a 3-day schedule? I turned that job down before he interviewed for it. Why? Because my spouse is a busy physician, and we hardly see each other except on weekends. She didn't want me working 12-hours on a Saturday while she plays mom, and I didn't want that either. I was offered that job, turned it down, and my classmate took it. Also, I am a bit of a workaholic, and I could definitely see myself doing something similar and working the same kind of 6-day schedule he did, but again, my physician wife, who works 60-70 hours per week, didn't like the idea of never seeing me, and neither did I. If I were single without kids, then I would 100% have done something like that. So, although my wife is a high-income earner, I had to make considerations based on our marriage, our children, and her career.
Also, because my wife works on a contract, she can't just move on a dime. Plus, she is a sub-specialist, so she has to be somewhere with a large catchment area / dense population to support her specialty. This is the antithesis of the ideal scenario for me, as I would much rather have bought a cash-flowing practice in a rural area within 1-hour of a city.
So, the tradeoff in our situation was that she supports me, while I do my darndest to compete in one of the most competitive markets in the US with a startup. It's not all roses on my end, I assure you. The stress of starting up in a competitive dental market definitely offsets the security of a spouse who earns good money. I would have preferred to buy in a low-competition place, perhaps somewhere in the Midwest or the South.
I worked for 3 different DSOs before starting my own. That was over a 3-year period. One of those DSOs was actually pretty good. The other two were horrendous. If anyone wants to know which DSOs to avoid based on my own experiences and those of my colleagues, I am happy to share that privately. The DSO I found to be quite good was MB2. You still aren't a true owner when you buy-in, but they definitely respect the doctors, they don't push numbers, there are no quotas, and they don't dictate treatment. Also, their opportunities for investments are unmatched from what I can tell. DSOs aren't all bad, but there are certainly some very bad ones out there. I should add that not every MB2 office is the same, because they operate as a loose confederation of practices, each operating under their own philosophy, vision, values, etc. I was fortunate to be one of the only solo associates in the nation they employed. In fact, I believe I may have been the only one remaining when I left.
The economics today are worse than they were when I started on the path to becoming a dentist. If I were looking at a $700-800k loan, I would probably have tried to go somewhere cheaper, even if it meant applying again next year. When I was applying, $500k was my ceiling, because I knew that with my spouse's income and my plans to buy / start a practice within 2-3 years, anything more than that would have been very difficult.
If everyone you know is in the same situation that should cover everyone else then too
Almost everyone I know who has done a startup. There is one exception, and that's the guy who was taking home $800k his first year out of school. But, he had to provide a personal guarantee. In my case, me and my wife both had to provide personal guarantees. Generally speaking, banks won't give business loans for a startup of any kind (in any industry) without a personal guarantee. A personal guarantee only means something if you have sufficient financial resources to back it up. This, coupled with high interest rates and construction costs is why I don't foresee many dentists doing startups anytime soon.