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Really odd thing to only look at absolute total.
FMG tripled since 2018 - 26 to 79
US MD+DO went from 226 to 153
How is this a return to the same?
Artificially inflated by applications from all the refugees who were airlifted out of afghanistan.I am curious to see if my peers on this forum will be happy that competitiveness may have seen its nadir, or unhappy that this will encourage expansion.
Expecting this to get deleted and i will receive warningArtificially inflated by applications from all the refugees who were airlifted out of afghanistan.
Really? Have you parsed the data? How is it more competitive this year for US medical students?I am curious to see if my peers on this forum will be happy that competitiveness may have seen its nadir, or unhappy that this will encourage expansion.
116 -> 132. Not saying it’s competitive, but perhaps it’s less uncompetitive than last yearReally? Have you parsed the data? How is it more competitive this year for US medical students?
100% match rate is unprecedented for a medical specialty. Last year, we were at 99.3%which was a record over the last 20 years.116 -> 132. Not saying it’s competitive, but perhaps it’s less uncompetitive than last year
Agree… but I would hazard a guess (and it is just a guess) that the average step 1 score for rad onc is higher than a specialty like OB/GYN.100% match rate is unprecedented for a medical specialty. Last year, we were at 99% which was a record over the last 20 years.
Why?Agree… but I would hazard a guess (and it is just a guess) that the average step 1 score for rad onc is higher than a specialty like OB/GYN.
Did Dan Golden go on a recruiting tour of caribean med schools again?I can confirm, mutiple programs started recruiting overseas and are sponsoring visas, which has never been a possibility in RadOnc
I interviewed a cohort of 15 this year. Average step 1 was well over 230. Not exactly the biggest sample, but more than enough for a guessWhy?
Honest question for you… why do you push back so hard when someone claims the sky isn’t falling? Is it falling?Why?
Is 230 a good score today. What is the average?I interviewed a cohort of 15 this year. Average step 1 was well over 230. Not exactly the biggest sample, but more than enough for a guess
I look at the data..... Unprecedented numbers into the SOAP two years in a row, way lower numbers of us grads applying that for the last 2 decades.Honest question for you… why do you push back so hard when someone claims the sky isn’t falling? Is it falling?
Middle East, South AmericaDid Dan Golden go on a recruiting tour of caribean med schools again?
Well the avg score overall is like 234. I would wager OB avg score is higher than rad onc currently.I interviewed a cohort of 15 this year. Average step 1 was well over 230. Not exactly the biggest sample, but more than enough for a guess
There’s a lot of daylight between the most competitive specialty and the sky is falling. There may be something wrong in Denmark, but that doesn’t mean it is the 9th circle of hell. I share many of your concerns, just with less intensity.I look at the data..... Unprecedented numbers into the SOAP two years in a row, way lower numbers of us grads applying that for the last 2 decades.
Why are you approaching this with such a pollyanna attitude when clearly things are not right in the state of Denmark?
Doesnt the NRMP release the data on individual specialties? Will be interesting to seeWell the avg score overall is like 234. I would wager OB avg score is higher than rad onc currently.
35/190 slots in the soap and a 100% us medical student match rate? Has any other specialty done that in recent memory?There’s a lot of daylight between the most competitive specialty and the sky is falling. There may be something wrong in Denmark, but that doesn’t mean it is the 9th circle of hell. I share many of your concerns, just with less intensity.
That’s a perfectly reasonable view, but of course there is a chance that you are wrong and the sky is in fact falling (or will fall with a yet to come paradigm shift/disruption to a single modality/technology ) To you that chance may be 10%, and to me it may be 80%. Wh0 would take even a 10% risk? If someone told me that saccharin has a 5% chance of causing cancer, I would use aspartame instead. Why take existential risks.There’s a lot of daylight between the most competitive specialty and the sky is falling. There may be something wrong in Denmark, but that doesn’t mean it is the 9th circle of hell. I share many of your concerns, just with less intensity.
but I would hazard a guess (and it is just a guess) that the average step 1 score for rad onc is higher than a specialty like OB/GYN.
you guys are clearly at diff tiers of programsDepends. If you only count the first attempt by all applicants I doubt we are. If you only count the most recent (ie passing) attempt then maybe we have a shot. Even then, I doubt it. I reviewed a quarter of the total pool this year. It ain’t pretty.
To be clear, that was mostly in jest. Even now, there are not many straight up failures applying for the field: especially among US grads. There are still a good number of decent US grads applying. It’s just such a shock to the system how quickly the applicant pool morphed to what it is today.you guys are clearly at diff tiers of programs
ramses is likely at a place that people don't want to go to. whether it is location, reputation/'prestige', job placement, or all of the above
you seem great, so im sure its not a hellpit, but the good med students have choices
Interesting items to consider as confounders to data:I really don’t know how to suss the rad onc job market anymore. I like to stay data based. Here’s what I consider data (not opinion):
1) the number of patients per rad onc is decreasing over time
2) avg reimbursement per rad onc is decreasing over time
3) resident case loads are decreasing over time
4) America is the most supplied country on earth in terms of rad oncs and linacs
5) The utilization of RT in de novo diagnosed cancer patients is decreasing over time
6) Rad oncs are using less treatments per patient over time
7) Supervision levels are falling in rad onc over time
Now I would have looked at all this data and predicted some increasing tough times in rad onc job market. But I think there’s one more data point that can forestall the bursting of what seems to be a bubble:
8) America is the most well reimbursed for tx for RT patients of any country on earth.
And i guess it goes back to how you define it as "good".... I think geography is that overarching theme here and from that standpoint, this years market does feel a lot more open geographically than the last couple. Lots of sunbelt positions, sometimes multiple in the same city.@elementaryschooleconomics
I think you’re missing a few really important aspects of this.
1) work from home + continued direct supervision in the short term creates the need for more of us (or stabilizes the numbers). The last two jobs I had were 1.0 FTE with one day at home. This is becoming quite common.
2) happiness with median income in employed position. I can’t tell you how many people I meet that are happy with making the median without bonus. If your spouse has an income, why bust your tail? My wife doesn’t work outside the house, and I still don’t care if I bonus
3) you young fellas love your hobbies and adventures (as do I). I would take less money for more vacation. Many people would - more so than the boomers who don’t even use all their days. I took so many I had to pay an employer back, lol.
4) more females in the workforce changes the overall hours worked, and if physician numbers stay stable, then need more of them to maintain same number of hours worked. This is not a bad thing.
So, the short term “good job market” isn’t imaginary but it doesn’t have a good foundation.
Chirag, Emma Fields, Todd and Jason Beckta going to talk about all of this stuff in detail on Accelerators podcast really soon.
Totally agree - so many "soft" aspects to consider.@elementaryschooleconomics
I think you’re missing a few really important aspects of this.
1) work from home + continued direct supervision in the short term creates the need for more of us (or stabilizes the numbers). The last two jobs I had were 1.0 FTE with one day at home. This is becoming quite common.
2) happiness with median income in employed position. I can’t tell you how many people I meet that are happy with making the median without bonus. If your spouse has an income, why bust your tail? My wife doesn’t work outside the house, and I still don’t care if I bonus
3) you young fellas love your hobbies and adventures (as do I). I would take less money for more vacation. Many people would - more so than the boomers who don’t even use all their days. I took so many I had to pay an employer back, lol.
4) more females in the workforce changes the overall hours worked, and if physician numbers stay stable, then need more of them to maintain same number of hours worked. This is not a bad thing.
So, the short term “good job market” isn’t imaginary but it doesn’t have a good foundation.
Chirag, Emma Fields, Todd and Jason Beckta going to talk about all of this stuff in detail on Accelerators podcast really soon.
Totally agree - so many "soft" aspects to consider.
The items @TheWallnerus posted are really the only "data" we have, and they paint an obviously negative picture.
Considering all these things in aggregate - RadOnc is currently exactly as "competitive" as it should be. We're at the mercy of the referral chain, the bulk of our clinical research is focused on reducing our footprint, advances in other fields (pharma etc) are further reducing our footprint, treatment planning is becoming increasingly automated, salaries have stagnated (technically dropping, given inflation) etc etc etc.
There will always be jobs. Will they be "good" jobs in "good" locations? "Good" is, of course, subjective. There is absolutely no reason Radiation Oncology should be the ridiculous, insanely competitive specialty it was over the last 15-20 years.
I don't see any meaningful reduction in residency spots happening, ever. The financial incentives in the "economy of residents" are too great. I'd settle for everyone just understanding and being honest about what we are. Over the last few years the #RaRaRadOnc stuff on Twitter has calmed down significantly. I know some blowhards are still singing about RadOnc as a magical land of wishes and magic to hapless medical students, but every specialty contends with that.
We're returning to our roots: a specialty for people who are just absolutely obsessed with using radiation to treat cancer, and a safe haven for medical students or foreign docs who would struggle to Match into other fields. I know some people have their egos wrapped up in this, and really built a personality around being granted access to one of the "most competitive" specialties in America, and the fall from grace is really painful. It's gonna be OK - egos can be built around other things. People shouldn't let their job title define them. We're more than that.
Honestly if the market goes tits up - retirements further get delayed, it impacts the job situation. Now in the more unlikely but very interesting scenario where say a certain meme stock does go to the moon- I can only imagine the mass retirements across all sectors including medicine that will result in further labor shortages. Trying to get out of the rat race is not unique to medicine and something like that really stands to shake the whole market upThe desperate people that need to get their foot in the US.
I always thought it was a bit absurd even as a med student. The sanctimonious bull**** I had to put up with from RO faculty trying to attach some kind of mysticism to the whole endeavor. You basically had to dedicate your entire med school time to building a resume to get into radonc.
Been doing quite a bit of introspection since graduating. The truth is that most of what I did as a med student I did not really like. Surgery was filled with dinguses and medicine seemed to be filled with people who were burnt out. RO seemed like a good fit even though the day to day wasn’t particularly interesting and honestly I just liked contouring. Hours were good and you could get paid like a surg sub for not much work. Maybe I should have just put up with the blowhards in Ortho or Uro and powered through would have had a hell of a lot easier in the long run.
Now I’m too old to retrain and my wife is no help. Industry may be the next stop even if it comes with less money. I have to get out of this hellhole someway. I’ve starting taking some big risks with my stock portfolio lately betting 125/ba make some extra cash to hold us over while I find something else to do.
RO seemed like a good fit even though the day to day wasn’t particularly interesting and honestly I just liked contouring.
Anesthesia can be laid backthe good thing is I really enjoy my day to day in rad onc. I think I would hate the day to day in most other things to be honest. whether it is the dark radiology reading rooms, the OR, the inpatient floors, or the busy clinic mills of Derm, I feel like nothing is like rad onc.
Although unquantifiable, I wonder how much of the attraction of radiation oncology in the golden era was its competitive nature. Using the stock analogy, how much of the growth was momentum rather than the underlying fundamentals.The desperate people that need to get their foot in the US.
I always thought it was a bit absurd even as a med student. The sanctimonious bull**** I had to put up with from RO faculty trying to attach some kind of mysticism to the whole endeavor. You basically had to dedicate your entire med school time to building a resume to get into radonc.
Been doing quite a bit of introspection since graduating. The truth is that most of what I did as a med student I did not really like. Surgery was filled with dinguses and medicine seemed to be filled with people who were burnt out. RO seemed like a good fit even though the day to day wasn’t particularly interesting and honestly I just liked contouring. Hours were good and you could get paid like a surg sub for not much work. Maybe I should have just put up with the blowhards in Ortho or Uro and powered through would have had a hell of a lot easier in the long run.
Now I’m too old to retrain and my wife is no help. Industry may be the next stop even if it comes with less money. I have to get out of this hellhole someway. I’ve starting taking some big risks with my stock portfolio lately betting 125/ba make some extra cash to hold us over while I find something else to do.
The desperate people that need to get their foot in the US.
I always thought it was a bit absurd even as a med student. The sanctimonious bull**** I had to put up with from RO faculty trying to attach some kind of mysticism to the whole endeavor. You basically had to dedicate your entire med school time to building a resume to get into radonc.
Been doing quite a bit of introspection since graduating. The truth is that most of what I did as a med student I did not really like. Surgery was filled with dinguses and medicine seemed to be filled with people who were burnt out. RO seemed like a good fit even though the day to day wasn’t particularly interesting and honestly I just liked contouring. Hours were good and you could get paid like a surg sub for not much work. Maybe I should have just put up with the blowhards in Ortho or Uro and powered through would have had a hell of a lot easier in the long run.
Now I’m too old to retrain and my wife is no help. Industry may be the next stop even if it comes with less money. I have to get out of this hellhole someway. I’ve starting taking some big risks with my stock portfolio lately betting 125/ba make some extra cash to hold us over while I find something else to do.
Initially it was underlying growth and great fundamentals from about 2000 to 2010. Peak Rad Onc top of the market was the Ben Smith paper. After that it was all momentum as the underlying fundamentals began to deteriorate and continue to do so. Those that matched after 2010 bought in on momentum (not that a med student would really be able to judge such things for themselves).Although unquantifiable, I wonder how much of the attraction of radiation oncology in the golden era was its competitive nature. Using the stock analogy, how much of the growth was momentum rather than the underlying fundamentals.
Like everything else, it's yes and no.You might want to look into a pay cut and take one of these 4 day/week jobs that people are saying are out there. Burn out is real in medicine including rad onc.
Catching up on notes and contours? Isn't that what 9PM-midnight is for?Like everything else, it's yes and no.
A high volume 4 day/week job presumably means catching up on notes and contours on your day off. A low volume 4 day/week job although easy could mean dread that the job could be eliminated or replaced.
Although unquantifiable, I wonder how much of the attraction of radiation oncology in the golden era was its competitive nature. Using the stock analogy, how much of the growth was momentum rather than the underlying fundamentals.
Definitely.It absolutely was part of the appeal. Med students ten years ago look on here to see what’s ‘hot’ and they still do now and they will ten years from now
That + magic of curing tumors without a knife. IrresistibleIt absolutely was part of the appeal. Med students ten years ago look on here to see what’s ‘hot’ and they still do now and they will ten years from now
Same here… unfortunately I went in hard recently on stocks and it wasn’t a good time to go into the market as it recently took a downhill spiral. I’m still banking on investing to get me through this hellpit. I’m done with medicine overall and wish I would have got a MBA.The desperate people that need to get their foot in the US.
I always thought it was a bit absurd even as a med student. The sanctimonious bull**** I had to put up with from RO faculty trying to attach some kind of mysticism to the whole endeavor. You basically had to dedicate your entire med school time to building a resume to get into radonc.
Been doing quite a bit of introspection since graduating. The truth is that most of what I did as a med student I did not really like. Surgery was filled with dinguses and medicine seemed to be filled with people who were burnt out. RO seemed like a good fit even though the day to day wasn’t particularly interesting and honestly I just liked contouring. Hours were good and you could get paid like a surg sub for not much work. Maybe I should have just put up with the blowhards in Ortho or Uro and powered through would have had a hell of a lot easier in the long run.
Now I’m too old to retrain and my wife is no help. Industry may be the next stop even if it comes with less money. I have to get out of this hellhole someway. I’ve starting taking some big risks with my stock portfolio lately betting 125/ba make some extra cash to hold us over while I find something else to do.
I have a high-volume 4 day/week job. Those 4 days are long and intense, but it's worth it for the extra one off. It helps to be efficient at charting, which is kind of easy once you realize no one cares what we write in our notes.Like everything else, it's yes and no.
A high volume 4 day/week job presumably means catching up on notes and contours on your day off. A low volume 4 day/week job although easy could mean dread that the job could be eliminated or replaced.