Stock Market 2022 except we just talk about stocks

This forum made possible through the generous support of SDN members, donors, and sponsors. Thank you.
RadOncDoc21 said:
Got back 25% over the past 3 days… keep it going! I understand the rationale for bear markets but I’m a Taurus.
Click to expand...

You know you want stocks to stay down so they can be bought cheap? Stocks going up now is no good for a beginning investor...
Members don't see this ad.
 
RadOncDoc21 said:
Got back 25% over the past 3 days… keep it going! I understand the rationale for bear markets but I’m a Taurus.
Click to expand...
End of tomorrow is the time to buy sqqq. Amazon, FB earnings will suck. Tech will pull back.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user
Members don't see this ad :)
Amazon's earning will likely disappoint analysts. I still think that stock is a buy if it drops 10% or more.

www.tipranks.com

Amazon Earnings Are Coming; Here’s What to Expect - TipRanks.com

Recent times have not been kind for Amazon (AMZN). The stock has come under pressure as, unsurprisingly, the company has been unable to sustain the outstanding grow...
www.tipranks.com www.tipranks.com

Mahaney stays with the bulls. The analyst rates AMZN an Outperform (i.e. Buy) along with a $4,300 price target. This would reflect gains of ~44% should the stock ultimately reach this target.
 
is it me or does the 20% drop seem a bit excessive? Revenue beat, EPS is only 4% from estimates and a lot of it was due to R&D costs to their metaverse segment? IDK, maybe I'm rationalizing.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 2 users
1643845102545.png
 
GandalfTheWhite said:
is it me or does the 20% drop seem a bit excessive? Revenue beat, EPS is only 4% from estimates and a lot of it was due to R&D costs to their metaverse segment? IDK, maybe I'm rationalizing.
Click to expand...

Fb revenue/earning has been a disappointment for a while. Apple privacy policy is killing targeted ads. Meta is total bs. Young people go to TikTok. So Maybe excessive but fb does have trouble.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user
narcotics999 said:
Fb revenue/earning has been a disappointment for a while. Apple privacy policy is killing targeted ads. Meta is total bs. Young people go to TikTok. So Maybe excessive but fb does have trouble.
Click to expand...
any particular reason you think its BS? It seems like most companies are jumping into the metaverse in some form or another. I agree on the privacy issue, theyve got to figure a way to target ads without it.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 users
GandalfTheWhite said:
any particular reason you think its BS? It seems like most companies are jumping into the metaverse in some form or another. I agree on the privacy issue, theyve got to figure a way to target ads without it.
Click to expand...

Facebook is going the way of myspace
who uses it anymore?
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user
Members don't see this ad :)
GassYous said:
Facebook is going the way of myspace
who uses it anymore?
Click to expand...
Its not just FB though, whatsapp is the largest messaging app in the world. Instagram is the leading social media platform (though TikTok is definitely a concern). Twitter was supposed to go the way of myspace, but it still is around.
 
Amazon is shameless. It reported 14.3b earning. EPS 27$ vs 3.8 expected. WOW! Stock popped 18%!

Yet 11.7b earning came from Rivian investment!
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 users
pgg said:
Nobody knows nothing
Click to expand...

pgg said:
Nobody knows nothing
Click to expand...

It’s Rivian stock valuation, not even realized gain. It was based on Rivian stock price in 90s. Now Rivian 60. Lost 3b. So if Amazon keep current organic earning, the next quarter total earning will be negative.

Time to short Amazon or buy put option.
 
GandalfTheWhite said:
Its not just FB though, whatsapp is the largest messaging app in the world. Instagram is the leading social media platform (though TikTok is definitely a concern). Twitter was supposed to go the way of myspace, but it still is around.
Click to expand...

FB’s (or Meta’s) success is going to hinge on the bet that Zuckerberg is making on this vague and sorta creepy Metaverse vision that he has. They are spending pretty big money on it. They have not communicated what that vision actually is beyond some bizarre commercial that probably scared more people than it made curious. Apple is a major thorn in their side and the government is looking hard at their status as a monopoly, so they can’t buy their way out of competition.



That commercial is nightmare inducing and shows you how out of touch Zuckerberg and FB may be becoming.
 
GravelRider said:
FB’s (or Meta’s) success is going to hinge on the bet that Zuckerberg is making on this vague and sorta creepy Metaverse vision that he has. They are spending pretty big money on it. They have not communicated what that vision actually is beyond some bizarre commercial that probably scared more people than it made curious. Apple is a major thorn in their side and the government is looking hard at their status as a monopoly, so they can’t buy their way out of competition.



That commercial is nightmare inducing and shows you how out of touch Zuckerberg and FB may be becoming.
Click to expand...

Looks like a ketamine trip🤣.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 users
GravelRider said:
FB’s (or Meta’s) success is going to hinge on the bet that Zuckerberg is making on this vague and sorta creepy Metaverse vision that he has. They are spending pretty big money on it. They have not communicated what that vision actually is beyond some bizarre commercial that probably scared more people than it made curious. Apple is a major thorn in their side and the government is looking hard at their status as a monopoly, so they can’t buy their way out of competition.



That commercial is nightmare inducing and shows you how out of touch Zuckerberg and FB may be becoming.
Click to expand...


wtf
no wonder they lost 100 dollars
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user
narcotics999 said:
It’s Rivian stock valuation, not even realized gain. It was based on Rivian stock price in 90s. Now Rivian 60. Lost 3b. So if Amazon keep current organic earning, the next quarter total earning will be negative.

Time to short Amazon or buy put option.
Click to expand...

You sound quite certain!

For grins, why don't you go short Amazon? Post a screenshot of the confirmation from your brokerage. Redact identifying info, of course. We'll see how it turns out.

For everyone's entertainment purposes, make it a large sum of money. If you only put up $1000 or something, that's hardly evidence of your conviction. Don't waste our time with something less than 5 figures.

Maybe you'll make a killing on that short. Or maybe not.

Or maybe nobody knows nothing.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 users
GandalfTheWhite said:
is it me or does the 20% drop seem a bit excessive? Revenue beat, EPS is only 4% from estimates and a lot of it was due to R&D costs to their metaverse segment? IDK, maybe I'm rationalizing.
Click to expand...

bc their users went DOWN for the first time.

i do think metaverse is the future... but depends on when that future arrives. fb may be a bit early to be dumping in this much money in it... but who knows
 
pgg said:
You sound quite certain!

For grins, why don't you go short Amazon? Post a screenshot of the confirmation from your brokerage. Redact identifying info, of course. We'll see how it turns out.

For everyone's entertainment purposes, make it a large sum of money. If you only put up $1000 or something, that's hardly evidence of your conviction. Don't waste our time with something less than 5 figures.

Maybe you'll make a killing on that short. Or maybe not.

Or maybe nobody knows nothing.
Click to expand...

This place is turning into wsb
 
  • Like
Reactions: 5 users
nimbus said:
Who’s gonna be the first to post their loss porn?
Click to expand...
Haha why not… got a hot tip here on SDN about a year ago about this. Not going to name names but they may have posted about 3 post above ;)
Thankfully it was just a little play money in the Schwab account
 

Attachments

  • 55559A50-22F0-4010-81AB-0ACF3F12E99C.jpeg
    55559A50-22F0-4010-81AB-0ACF3F12E99C.jpeg
    26.1 KB · Views: 90
  • Haha
  • Like
Reactions: 1 users
ZzzPlz said:
Haha why not… got a hot tip here on SDN about a year ago about this. Not going to name names but they may have posted about 3 post above ;)
Thankfully it was just a little play money in the Schwab account
Click to expand...

Diamond Hands!✋💎🤚 BTFD!
 
  • Like
Reactions: 2 users
"It's going to be the amazon of asia!"
Nope just a ****ty ipo and a ****ty stock
Stuck to index stocks after that
 

Attachments

  • cpng.png
    cpng.png
    63.9 KB · Views: 92
GassYous said:
"It's going to be the amazon of asia!"
Nope just a ****ty ipo and a ****ty stock
Stuck to index stocks after that
Click to expand...

I lost a lot of money on cpng as well. Sold it. You only lost a few hundred. I lost about $9k. Taking the deduction for my tax returns (and for many years into the future)
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 users
coffeebythelake said:
I lost a lot of money on cpng as well. Sold it. You only lost a few hundred. I lost about $9k. Taking the deduction for my tax returns (and for many years into the future)
Click to expand...
Sell some profitable stocks for loss harvest. You can immediately buy back the profitable ones. No wash sale.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user
Have never seen Stocks loosing 25% of their value in a single session And in high volume trading. Meaning institutional sellers and disciplined selling. Sometimes selling begets more selling. 250 billion dollar dollar loss, a trillion dollar hair cut in Bt coin price all add up and will end up as volatile markets.Have not seen any capitulation yet. This may still not be the time to buy as there are no clear signs neither from chart patterns nor any economic indicators.
The spigots of easy money are being turned down globally And oil is trading above 90$. A lot of the companies have not seen one recession because of zero interest rate.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user
The Russian invasion of Ukraine is spooking the markets. I expect next week to give us a chance to buy equities and crypto at a discount. I still think sub 4,000 S and P 500 could be in the cards and I am a buyer on weakness below 4100. Some experts are saying 10% drop from here around 3900 but not being a trader I will start adding positions at 4100.


www.cnbc.com

Ukraine tensions, inflation push chip stocks even lower

Chipmakers had been boosted by increased demand during the pandemic and have generally reported strong earnings and outlooks in the past month.
www.cnbc.com www.cnbc.com
 
www.cnbc.com

Gold jumps as rising Ukraine tensions spur safe-haven demand

Spot gold was up 0.4% at $1,833.49 per ounce by 11:42 a.m. ET (1642 GMT), poised for a weekly gain of more than 1.4%.
www.cnbc.com www.cnbc.com

This is why I own GOLD in my portfolio. While it makes up only 3% of my portfolio I am very comfortable with Gold as a hedge against market turmoil and inflation. Gold is a lousy investment but a nice insurance policy. I still think Gold is a better reserve currency than the US Dollar over the next 5 years.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user
BLADEMDA said:
The Russian invasion of Ukraine is spooking the markets. I expect next week to give us a chance to buy equities and crypto at a discount. I still think sub 4,000 S and P 500 could be in the cards and I am a buyer on weakness below 4100. Some experts are saying 10% drop from here around 3900 but not being a trader I will start adding positions at 4100.


www.cnbc.com

Ukraine tensions, inflation push chip stocks even lower

Chipmakers had been boosted by increased demand during the pandemic and have generally reported strong earnings and outlooks in the past month.
www.cnbc.com www.cnbc.com
Stock markets might correct for longer duration than just 10-20% correction. One might also witness grinding stagflation in stock market prices by all the government intervention. Essentially there may be sideways action with a bias to the downside. Crypto is fraud.
Click to expand...
 
Never bet against US companies long term. A market drop of 10% should be bought not sold as most blue chip companies are in great shape. I am an optimist and the American voter won't stand for "wokeness" when it tanks the economy. This means 2022 and 2024 will see a return to typical govt. policy rather than more stimulus money.

I do agree that the debt is a major issue facing the USA but buying blue chip companies is a solid long term investment. That doesn't mean 2022 will be an up year in the market; that said, I do believe that future up years are in the horizon so buying more on a down year is good investing IMHO. For those dollar cost averaging in the market ignore the noise and keep plodding away. My only caveat is 1/2 your exposure should be in a VTI or S and P 500 fund rather than in individual equities or sector ETFs. I do believe in overweight exposure to tech longer term so dollar cost averaging a 1/4 or 1/3 of your portfolio in that area makes a lot of sense in order to hit your target for retirement.

With inflation running red hot that retirement number just got a whole lot bigger.
 
GandalfTheWhite said:
maybe a good time to jump into semiconductors?
Click to expand...
Not really till options expiration on March18, Most of the semis-are acting weak and reacting to nasdaq sell off.
Check this website on max pain Swaggy Stocks. Use that as a direction . It might not mean much as delta neutral strategy hedging bets. I cannot explain but, I do think the options market are having unusual whale activity in both directions. Next also look for .
for technical chart analysis. Qcom may be the only semi that I might nibble


Finally algo driven trading are producing more volatility and severe whiplash movements.
Despite all these be prepared to loose and I follow guy Adamis rule, never to get emotionally attached to your trade and cut your losses of 8 percent loss. I do short individual stocks based , risky based on put call volume and exploding intrinsic volatility.
i am trying to get long into NIo, Do research on solid state battery technology. The ones that I am interested are SLDP,
GWH. Also heard Toyota motors are way advanced in this solid Battery.
 
Last edited:
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategists lowered their forecast for U.S. stock returns this year as the prospect of more aggressive monetary tightening weighs on valuations.

The strategists cut their year-end target for the S&P 500 benchmark index to 4,900 points, down from 5,100 points previously. It compares with Friday’s close of 4,418.64.

The less optimistic outlook still implies 11% upside from current levels to fresh record highs, although the strategists cautioned that risks are skewed to the downside.

“The macro backdrop this year is considerably more challenging than in 2021,” wrote the team, led by David Kostin. “Uncertainty abounds regarding the path of inflation and Fed policy.”
 
undalay said:
Not really till options expiration on March18, Most of the semis-are acting weak and reacting to nasdaq sell off.
Check this website on max pain Swaggy Stocks. Use that as a direction . It might not mean much as delta neutral strategy hedging bets. I cannot explain but, I do think the options market are having unusual whale activity in both directions. Next also look for .
for technical chart analysis. Qcom may be the only semi that I might nibble


Finally algo driven trading are producing more volatility and severe whiplash movements.
Despite all these be prepared to loose and I follow guy Adamis rule, never to get emotionally attached to your trade and cut your losses of 8 percent loss. I do short individual stocks based , risky based on put call volume and exploding intrinsic volatility.
i am trying to get long into NIo, Do research on solid state battery technology. The ones that I am interested are SLDP,
GWH. Also heard Toyota motors are way advanced in this solid Battery.
Click to expand...

Analysts who follow ESS Tech Inc (GWH) on average expect it to add 287.76% over the next twelve months. Those same analysts give the stock an average rating of Strong Buy. That average rating earns the stock an Analyst Ranking of 74, which means it ranks higher than 74 of stocks, based on data compiled by InvestorsObserver.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user
narcotics999 said:
I bought some XOM yesterday. I know I am late to the party but there is room to rise.
Click to expand...

I’m getting Taking up significant position in oil stocks in general last few months. May be the best trade I ever make or the worst
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Next unread thread

Similar threads

BLADEMDA
Stocks and the Fed for 2024
Replies
10
Views
926
Dr. Rude
Dr. Rude
BLADEMDA
Stock, the economy and the Fed for 2023
10 11 12 13 14
Replies
681
Views
36K
pgg
pgg
A
Housing market 2022
Replies
9
Views
1K
jwk
jwk
BLADEMDA
Stock market 2021
9 10 11 12 13
Replies
610
Views
36K
mdartclub
mdartclub
S
Maryland Job Market
2
Replies
69
Views
6K
aneftp
A
Top