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I don't have that data. I don't even think my Admissions dean does.
But let's pretend the number is 50%. At my school we have a pool of 6000 people applying. If we eliminate all who used grade replacement, we now have 3000 applicants. Of these, some are applying without a clue and have business doing so. This is another 50%. Now we're down to 1500 candidates.
Based upon historic numbers, there's no way we'll get 100 people to commit to our program of the 250 we usually accept.
Thus, we will have to down deeper into the applicant pool, and say, our median GPA goes from 3.3 to 3.1. Our LizzyM score also takes a hit.
The applicant pool might be modified so that more people who reinvent themselves are appealing to MD schools and thus that leaves more people who would have gotten into MD schools with lower stats, to go for DO. For example, the kid with a 3.9 GPA from an SMP might be more attractive to their state MD school, Drexel or U Miami, than the candidate with the 3.5 GPA, who achieved this straight through UG school. So theoretically, some MD schools might even see a drop in their LizzyM scores! In turn, the DO schools see their scores go up.
With reinvention, I could see where DO schools can settle for lower MCAT scores, so people only have to do 1/2 of the reinvention mix.
I'll bet @efle or @Lawper can come up with some thought experiments on this.
This could be the case!
With the increase of average GPA for D.O. schools over the years, could they be doing this because they feel they are getting more competitive applicants now? Like someone said earlier, the applicant who never has never used grade replacement but has a 3.4-3.6 GPA would suddenly gain a large advantage.
But let's pretend the number is 50%. At my school we have a pool of 6000 people applying. If we eliminate all who used grade replacement, we now have 3000 applicants. Of these, some are applying without a clue and have business doing so. This is another 50%. Now we're down to 1500 candidates.
Based upon historic numbers, there's no way we'll get 100 people to commit to our program of the 250 we usually accept.
Thus, we will have to down deeper into the applicant pool, and say, our median GPA goes from 3.3 to 3.1. Our LizzyM score also takes a hit.
The applicant pool might be modified so that more people who reinvent themselves are appealing to MD schools and thus that leaves more people who would have gotten into MD schools with lower stats, to go for DO. For example, the kid with a 3.9 GPA from an SMP might be more attractive to their state MD school, Drexel or U Miami, than the candidate with the 3.5 GPA, who achieved this straight through UG school. So theoretically, some MD schools might even see a drop in their LizzyM scores! In turn, the DO schools see their scores go up.
With reinvention, I could see where DO schools can settle for lower MCAT scores, so people only have to do 1/2 of the reinvention mix.
I'll bet @efle or @Lawper can come up with some thought experiments on this.
What proportion of applicants usually used the grade replacement policy from what you understand? Do you think that this is going to dramatically cut down on the applicant pool?
This could be the case!
With the increase of average GPA for D.O. schools over the years, could they be doing this because they feel they are getting more competitive applicants now? Like someone said earlier, the applicant who never has never used grade replacement but has a 3.4-3.6 GPA would suddenly gain a large advantage.