What if - and I know this may be difficult to take in - they haven’t and it isn’t?
I don’t mean this sardonically or condescendingly, hear me out. I started out the app cycle with a school list of 30 that had a median USNWR ranking of 20. I did this based on what I thought, and have been, is an objectively gold-star, superb, get in anywhere type of application. Fast forward to September and I had a single MD/PhD interview. It is a humbling hit, but recognizing this and adapting early, added another 15 schools that were “lower ranking”, in the proces discovering that ranking and non-MSTP status is really not as significant as I thought. Of my 8 MD/PhD IIs, 5 are from that second list of 15 and both of my acceptances so far are from the second list. Of my 14 or 15 pre-II Rs, 13 are from that first list. Could I have faired better MD only? Sure. But this is the path to go down. The lesson being take your cycle results not as an attack on you but as feedback on your application. You may be a bad interviewer, you may have weaker LORs, you may have weaker in comparison research, you just don’t know and it is not a statement on you as an individual or as an applicant. It is feedback on your application that maybe, it isn’t as good as you think. Internalizing that is a struggle for one’s ego, but if you cannot then you will continue to resent the schools that *do* want you.
TL;dr - maybe, objective measures and preconceived notions of how one will do in the cycle aren’t as accurate as we hope or want, but introspection and learning from one’s lives experiences is an excellent skill to have.