Suppose a newly graduated ortho has 0 debt from school and earned a net positive (from a stipend) in residency. What would your career advice be for this individual?
The short answer: I see the previous income and lifestyle differences between ortho and dentistry becoming less so over time. So if you like ortho and can graduate with a net positive and you have similar lifestyle expectations from either career or other specialty, then go for the one you enjoy more. I mean, if you do an ortho residency instead of a GP GPR, then it's not like you wasted that much more time on the extra ortho education. Just make sure you understand the work schedule, work environment, and salary expectations in both fields.
The longer answer: Obviously it puts you in better shape, but if you plan to buy or start a practice there's still a big investment looming ahead, and it's getting more expensive with the new technology continuously coming out. Of course we all know that controlling overhead is a key, but it's not like 30 years ago where you used paper instead of computers and no one really cared or noticed. Now there's a noticeable difference between the have's and have not's, and if you're in a competitive area you can't be a have not unless you go for bargain basement fees. I think this applies to some extent to general dentistry too, but not as much, although I'm not an expert on GP trends.
What are your long term goals? Do you plan to buy or start a practice at some point or work for a corporation long term? What kind of days and hours do you want to keep? Are you a "volume" type of worker or prefer a more relaxed pace? Are you a natural businessperson and leader? Do you have a sense of marketing and social media? Are you considering ortho because of the actual procedures, supposed salary, supposed lifestyle, or all the above? How much salary are you hoping to make a year? What are your personal and family expenses looking like for the first 10 years you will be working? There are so many variables to consider and each situation is different. My colleagues with a working spouse and 1 kid are obviously in better financial shape than me with 5 kids and a very hard working, but unpaid spouse.
My point I've been trying to get across is that ortho has changed and will continue to change. You need to work harder for less money than the previous generation of orthos did, and I honestly don't know how much longer the owner/practitioner model will be sustainable. I see a slow but steady change over the next 10-20 years. And I'm concerned that currently the corporations pay a decent ortho salary because there are lots of private practices still around so they have to pay competitive wages. But once the majority of private practices are gone, I assume they will lower their wages, too. It's a simple business decision, and they have no obligation to us.
Ortho was seen for decades as a stable, predictable field. That's no longer true. Things are rapidly changing, and no one knows for sure where it's going to end up.