I personally find a CHOP match or Big 4 IM match at least as impressive. I can tell you in radiology the well known programs in popular cities maintain step averages in the 250s and focus a lot on your research, just like the small competitive fields. If these peeps had wanted ophtho or derm instead they would be solid candidates, not low tier
That's not surprising. I'd assume a Big 4 IM residency is
more competitive than a community ortho residency. I'd also imagine it depends a lot on your school (i.e. matching big 4 IM from a lower tier school will be far more difficult than matching community ortho). I also don't think of rads as a less competitive specialty like peds/neuro/IM. I assume anyone matching into a top 20 rads program could have their pick of mid-tier ortho/derm residencies if they focused on that in med school instead.
I still wonder about the other points though. Is there any point in picking prestige over specialty from a career earnings perspective? I'd imagine most people, even with a prestigious degree, won't get the sorts of jobs that net them more.
My friend in commercial real estate at a big name place ran the numbers and even if I come out making 250k then I still out earn him by 10%. Yes they get a head start but you make it up quick
I bet that's true. However, keep in mind I was imagining the scenario where these people earn money and live like a med student. It's one thing to say that a physician will retire with more money than an engineer. It's another thing to say a physician has greater earnings potential than an engineer/real estate agent/manager/etc...
Without getting too in depth, imagine making ~$80-120k from age 22-30 and then renting and only spending ~$25k/year like a med student. You're putting away $45-50k/year after taxes, which, on average, will net you $4.5-5k if you just invest it in the S&P500. By age 30 you've got almost $500k in the bank and it's making you an extra $50k/year on average. By 35 you've got $1MM and you've basically boosted your total income by $100k. Get a mortgage and you'll put less into your brokerage account, but you'll be effectively spending less and saving more because you're investing in real estate.
The people into FIRE are all over this sort of phenomenon, and they become millionaires before 40 with $50-60k salaries while basically living on peanuts.
The point of all of this is not to say that physicians will be out-earned. Earnings
potential of a physician is actually not much higher than that of someone making $80-200k from the start to the end of their career, despite the salaries being so far apart. In practice that rarely happens because of things like lifestyle creep. You go slowly from ramen and roommates to vacations and granite countertops, always spending 80-95% of your income. If these people live like med students and get their money working for them early on, they can definitely earn what a physician earns over a career. It's just extremely difficult to justify biking to work, living with roommates, and eating rice and pasta 7 days a week when you can very obviously afford not to.