Yeah dude, I just called one of my top choices and when I asked my chances, she said "It could really go either way..." She then proceeded to mention that the waitlist wasn't seeing much movement, the class was full, and she emphasized that I should plan around my other acceptances (HAH I wish)/waitlist options. Basically a kiss of death.
Combined with my other waitlists hardly moving, I have pretty much given up on this cycle. Might send one more interest/update letter to a school.
I strongly echo
@juliuspepperwood about pretending you aren't going to get in and preparing for a reapp. It's much less stressful.