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Do you guys think physician salaries will continue to go down in the next 10-15 years (Family Practice & Specialties)?
Join the club! If only I could get a mortgage for the same amount of my student loans!! Then I could have a REALLY nice house !CANES2006 said:I sure hope not. I'm broke to start off with.
nir1009 said:Do you guys think physician salaries will continue to go down in the next 10-15 years (Family Practice & Specialties)?
dr_almondjoy_do said:cash only practices... we need to stop thinking that the government and insurance companies are our only source of income...we hold the purse strings and don't even know it...
DrNick2006 said:there are plans to cut medicare by 16% over the next ten years. And medicare represents half of payments, so the average physician stands to loose 8% of income. Also, insurance companies will continue to squeeze us, as will hospitals. While physicians are ultimatly driven by the patient (how many doc's won't see a patient if they are in real trouble and can't pay) everyone else looks at dollars, and so we are the first to get screwed. Not to mention the ones who make policy are lawyers (there are few physicians in congress). And while new physicians may decrease (med school apps are down again I beleive) all of us already here are stuck (find another job with 200K in debt) So everyone should beleive that there is a war on out there so make sure you're all aware of the issues facing physicians, become a member in physician advocacy groups and make a difference. Its your livelihood we're dealing with here. Don't look for public sympathy either. Whats the first thing you hear when you say your going to be a doctor? 'Oh your gonna be loaded some day!' yeah right. Sure doctors still live relatively comfortably compared to the average american, but the days of rich doctors are over unless you find extra-medical income.
Pooh & Annie said:My guess is more places that can get away with not accepting medicare will do so. In certain areas, this wouldn't be possible because the entire patient population uses medicare. Evetually doctors will leave these areas that are already less desirable. Then what?
The government can decide what they want to reimburse, but doctors can choose who they want to see. At some point, there will be a stalemate, kind of like there already is in certain areas with astronomical malpractice insurance. What will happen in these cases, I don't know. I do suggest that everyone get involved by at least joining the AMA. Our membership fee helps pay for the groups that we have lobbying for us in Washington. That's gonna be HUGE in the coming years.
scholes said:What I see happening is that rather than the lower paid specialties getting further cuts in the salary, the higher paying specialties will get cut to lessen the gap in pay between
KentW said:You may be right. The current system favors procedural-based specialties. However, procedures are also low-hanging fruit for cost-containment. Today's "golden" specialties could fall from favor overnight with a simple change in insurance reimbursement. One notable example is cataract surgery. A decade or so ago, cataracts reimbursed pretty well, and many an ophthalmologist cashed in on "cataract mills", just cranking 'em through. That all changed when Medicare drastically lowered the reimbursement for cataract extraction. Heme-onc is seeing a similar backlash related to in-office drug infusions. Many other specialties are easy targets for this sort of thing. Bottom line: don't make a career decison based on what's "hot" or lucrative today, as it could be cold as ice tomorrow. Do what you truly enjoy, and the money will matter a lot less.
nir1009 said:Do you guys think physician salaries will continue to go down in the next 10-15 years (Family Practice & Specialties)?
joedoctor said:If doctors would stand up and tell everyone else in the healthcare business how it's going to be, then the problem would e solved.
joedoctor said:Doctors have an f-ing monopoly. Only doctors can write prescriptions only doctors can do surgery. If insurance companies charge too much, then another company can enter the market and take their business. This cannot possibly happen to doctors, they are the only ones with the monopoly. If doctors say "we dont want to take low medicare fees" then they dont have to, there's nothing the government can do about it. If they dont want to be told how to prescribe medicine by an insurance company, they can refuse to take that company's coverage. What are doctors whining about? Doctors as a group need to stop being so complacent and picking up the slack because they are selfless by nature. If doctors would stand up and tell everyone else in the healthcare business how it's going to be, then the problem would e solved. The insurance companies would have to cede to doctors or else not be treated. Doctors feel guilty about not working for pennies on the dollar because they are worried about patients. At the same time, insurance companies are more salient than ever. (Aetna CEO had multimillion dollar bonus this last year) Who's the sucker now?
Qafas said:Your argument is flawed. Doctors do not have a monopoly, because a monopoly requires one entity supplying the product or service. Doctors are not one entity. In fact, we are all competitors of each other. If a doctor told an insurance company to meet his requirements or take a hike, the company would simply go give the contract to another physician. There is no shortage of physicians. The only way your argument could work is if several physicians could unite to make a large enough entity to have some leverage. Unfortunately, physicians cannot unionize. The best we can do is form IPAs, which still have to work within a very strict legal framework. So, our hands are tied. There is no way we can all competing against each other because it is impossible to bring everyone to do the same thing without actually making a formal union.
I believe that physician reimbursement will continue to decline for several years, until at least some of the power is taken away from third-party payors. Already, employers across the nation are cutting back on health benefits and putting part of the burden back on individuals. This is forcing people to actually become aware of the costs of healthcare, instead of simply being aware of their insurance premiums. It will take time, but the public in this country will have to shoulder more of its own burden, and I think we will see more FFS over time.
We must also keep in mind that insurance companies and pharmaceuticals are juggernauts, with unmatched lobbying power. That means they are here to stay, and we'll have to fight back an inch at a time to get what we deserve. Medicine is unique as a profession. Nowhere else do you see professionals providing a product/service on a daily basis without any guarantee that they will get paid what they charge, or get paid at all. We are simply held to a different standard, and for good reason - we make life and death decisions. In the meantime, the uniqueness of our profession places us at a great disadvantage. It is no surprise that so many physicians start off wanting to help people, but become jaded because of the demands put on them.
Personally, I'm not counting on great financial returns from my medical career. I plan on investing diversely because that is the only real way to make money and save.
cdql said:We just had a lecture on it actually. The number has gone down over the past couple of years but has risen again this year.
(The explanation was that because of the poor job market, more students are inclined to continue their education in grad school rather than search for jobs. Needless to say, the lowest number of applicants occured during the Internet boom in the late 90's. My cousin even dropped out of a high ranking med school to join the fracas!)
Out of curiousity, what would be the highest paying specialty then? I know I know...that is not the way to pick anything (let alone a medical profession)
But if you were to guess which specialty receives the highest pay and would continue receiving it during the next couple of decades, what do you think it would be?
My guess would be anything cosmetically related. e.g. plastics and derm (Perhaps another reason why these 2 fields are so incredibly competitive?)
KentW said:Physicians do not, in fact, have any kind of monopoly. There is a variety of legislation in place which makes it virtually impossible for doctors to negotiate as a group. Read this (Sec. 2.5 discusses antitrust law) for more info.
stephend7799 said:anything that is cash based.. such as what dr rey does.. betcha he has no idea what a family practice doc makes LOL
Sivastraba said:You guys should check this very informative website.
joedoctor said:Doctors have an f-ing monopoly. Only doctors can write prescriptions only doctors can do surgery.
MacGyver said:It is inevitable that doctor salaries will decline. I predict they will decline to about on par with what european and canadian doctors make before the salary decline stops.
MacGyver said:It is inevitable that doctor salaries will decline. I predict they will decline to about on par with what european and canadian doctors make before the salary decline stops.
Medicare currently controls 50% of all healthcare dollars in the United States. By 2020, it will be 80%. Thats a de facto monopoly folks. By the year 2020, we will have de facto universal healthcare coverage. Medicare will obtain sufficient market share to single handedly dictate physician salaries across all specialties.
When that happens (and it will happen), doctors salaries will start teh precipitous decline towards canadian and euro salaries. That translates to roughly 80-100k per year average for primary care, and 120-180k for specialists. Check the Canadian doctor salary surveys. Of course it will be worse in the states because we have to deal with this godawful lawsuit culture that doesnt exist in Canada or Europe.
My only hope at this point is that the bureaucrats are smart enough to cut specialists fees without cutting primary care fees. Some specialties AVERAGE over 400k per year. Hopefully govt will cut those down first before touching the poor FP doc who only makes 120k per year.
I thought ER docs are unionizedPoety said:Why can't doctors unionize?
Sohalia said:Is medical school as expensive for the average student in Europe and Canada as it is here?
penguins said:Many EU med schools are free to all EU citizens. (Example: A Swede could go to an Irish med school for free)
I wouldn't be a doctor if I had to join a union.
AMA isn't neccessarily on our side. I would never join them.
allendo said:I thought ER docs are unionized
Stephanieukmed said:...Not true Penguin, the sole purpose of the AMA is to provide a unified voice for physicians...