black shlonger model hahahahah
I’m bullish for 2024 but uncertain for 2023 holding 4200. I think we end 2023 over 4200 but likely see 3800 at some point. I’m not bearish just realistic about the P/E multiples. I agree that there is a ton of money on the sidelines waiting to be deployed.
They’re also buying the cheaper Russia oil though
Ahhh, beneath every public socialist is a private capitalist 😉 Embrace it. It's what built America.
most of their loses were from pork and beef. not chicken
dont they sell pork
That is a sell signal if I ever saw one.
It's going to be huge.
Or maybe it's past time to admit that no one knows anything and that predicting the stock market, especially over short time intervals (like the attention span of an internet thread on a doctor forum), is a fool's errand.
Yeah but you nailed it on the Amzn 95 calls expiring today. What did you roll them for? For me I'm settling in and finding 2 pts a month on Goog 95s and 100s, and Amzn 95s is a decent trade off between rolling too early and possibly rolling too late. It's been a sweet 25% yearly on about 4 months or so now. Hoping to milk that a little while longer before the inevitable happens, ie goes too high or falls too low and the rich premiums disappears.
Is this a joke?Citadel breaks records with $16bn profit
Ken Griffin’s hedge fund charged investors $12bn in fees and expenses in 2022www.ft.com
the best hedge funds on the long run f ar outperforms sp500.
The stellar year for Citadel's flagship fund followed a 26% return in 2021 and decades of strong performance–$1 million invested in Wellington at inception in 1990 would be worth $328 million today, compared with $23 million if it were invested in the S&P 500 Index.
Ignore the junk. Focus on low cost ETFs and these days there are ETFs in every category/sector as well as actively managed ETFs. Options trading is for the select few as most will lose money trading options. If you can save $100K per year in all accounts then the odds favor you attaining your goals. I recommend you run the numbers. $100K per year over 30 years with a 6-7% return. For some, this will be easy to do while for others this will require a strict budgeting process.
Vanguard money market is up to 4.55%! If it persists I'll move my money from UFB Direct which is giving me 4.21% right now.
? yes i believe it. and yes many hedge fund guys manage their own money and run family offices.
it didnt go well. i was too busy at work. i placed a order to roll them forward at mid price and it never got filled... i was surprised. i usually have no probs filling. so my option will be assigned. not a huge deal i guess. i'll put some puts in next week or something
When you say assigned, will your stock will be taken, or money to pay off the option will be taken? Either way you're sitting extremely well.
My stocks are being sold for 95$ . Yea Amazon has pretty amazing premiums right now. Ill see what happens Tuesday to see if I should sell some puts
Which one are you a member of?
I don't think so. If the terminal rate goes to 6%, the 10yr, 30yr treasury bond rates will go up significantly too. USA can't afford it with more than 1T yearly deficit.
it'll be temporary. usa not being able to afford it will in turn cause to find ways to find more revenue which will probably crush the economy
The Fed is committed to taming inflation to levels around 2.5% or so. Will they tolerate 3%? Also, if the Fed funds rate does hit 6% it will only be for a few months until unemployment rises and the recession takes hold. Then, the Fed will cut rates likely ending up around 3.5% sometime in 2025. My point is that IMHO, the market isn't seeing higher rates for longer intervals like all of 2023 and even part of 2024. I firmly believe the Fed will raise rates as high as 6% if needed this year.
