I have a general but elementary understanding of the Navy dental corps and I am contemplating accepting the 4 year HPSP. Here is my impression of how things were and where they may be headed in terms of operational deployments.
It seems that in the past, a dentist paying back a 4 year HPSP should expect to spend about 1 year deployed on average. A few may get a couple of shore clinic assignments and not deploy at all, but that's a rarity. A few may be stationed at high operational tempo bases and spend 3 years of their commitment on deployment, also a rarity.
If that perception is accurate, then what does the future look like for the first few groups of HPSP dental grads who are accepting scholarships and joining the ranks during this time of downsizing? I would imagine that the new deployment average for these dentists would increase to around 1.5 - 2 years deployment for 4 year HPSP service, regardless of completing AEGD/GPR. I don't think 3 years of deployment would be the norm, but I also don't think 6 months of deployment would be the norm either. But with fewer graduating dentists entering the LT rank and the same number of naval deployments, it should be common sense that most, if not all dentists graduating 4 years from now will be assigned to operationally active bases.
It should be very well understood by anybody who is contemplating HPSP that there is the likelihood of deployment. Some people I have spoken with talk as though they will not be the ones to deploy. Frankly, they sounded foolish. So now, more so than in the past, there should not be any question about IF you will be deployed as a new LT dentist, but rather HOW LONG. So many members of the military make this sacrifice. For me, its an opportunity serve those soldiers and share in that sacrifice.
None of the above information is factual as I am conjecturing based off of information I have gathered from SDN and other forums. Any feedback from some of the more seasoned Navy dental officers would be greatly appreciated.