Well, the OP asked "For which scenarios leaving newly diagnosed mets untreated is a SOC?" which I interpret as:
For which scenarios would you not recommend brain radiotherapy upon diagnosis of brain mets.
This does not necessarily mean that one would not recommend to give brain radiation therapy "down the road", but simply not upon diagnosis, as in the immediate future.
So, concerning extensive disease SCLC:
Let's assume a newly diagnosed ED-SCLC comes up at the tumor board. He has a big primary tumor, mediastinal nodes and a bunch of liver mets on the PET-CT plus two asymptomatic 6 & 9 mm lesions in the frontal lobe on the cMRI. The med-onc says he wants to treat him with carboplatin/etoposide followerd by IO and thinks the patient is fit for full systemic treatment.
Would you recommend SRSing those lesions within the next couple of weeks? I wouldn't. Would you recommend WBRT now? I woulnd't.
I would let the med onc give his systemic treatment and ask for a cMRI upon completion of chemotherapy (that's in 3-5 months from now), when the patient would switch to maintenance immunotherapy.
As a rule of thumb, one can delay or ommit radiation therapy to the brain for asymptomatic brain metastasis if one of the following criteria apply:
a) the patient's prognosis is miserable and treating the brain mets will not help alter that. --> ommit RT.
b) there is a high chance that the brain mets will respond well to systemic treatment, but the prognosis of the patient is still not good despite a good ORR because PFS is still not good, meaning that extracerebral tumor progression may kill the patient before the brain mets grow again and become relevant --> defer RT and re-evaluate according to pattern of progression.
c) the patient's prognosis is actually good (usually due to a targettable driver mutation or chance of long-lasting remission with IO) --> possible to delay RT at first and re-scan after a couple of months. Go "all-in" from the start is the other argument which is supported by some (but not all data, as Evilboyaa well pointed out).
Actually, the question of delivering WBRT for newly diagnosed stage IV NSCLC with brain mets immediately or after systemic treatment has been asked before in a trial.
Primary chemotherapy is more feasible and can be an appropriate option for patients with synchronous brain metastasis when neurologic symptoms or signs are absent or controlled. The role and timing of WBRT should be defined in further studies in this clinical setting.
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
[I know it's all pre-IO/TKI era].