Did anyone not see this coming?
Yes, in fact SDN has been talking about how people shouldn't rely on it because it would likely fall through for years, and there were plenty of signs before this. A while ago the Obama administration tried to pass a bill putting a cap on the amount forgiven at $59k, so docs with that $300k in debt would still be stuck with the majority of the loan at the end of that period. This isn't news to most of the financially aware people I know, and if the financial counseling you received when entering med school didn't talk about this as a possible outcome then they did you a huge disservice.
Edit: Sorry, thought you asked if anyone actually saw it coming. As you implied, I think most people with any awareness did.
WARNING: Essay ahead in response to one post, will relate to thread but takes a while. TL;DR: explaining a potential "why" of libertarian logic.
Oh you don’t have to answer. I was just curious. Libertarian logic makes perfect sense to me, I just don’t understand the why behind it...
I'm not libertarian, but it's probably the closest thing to defining my opinion on government and individual responsibilities so I'll give you my reasoning. Imo, the core value here is autonomy and the idea that even though we cannot control other people, we can control ourselves and our own lives. So it's personal responsibility first, helping others second. It's a concept that you see literally everywhere in nature and life. As an EMT, the first lesson is to never try and save someone if the area isn't clear, otherwise you may become a casualty yourself meaning that's just one more person to rescue. On an airplane, you put your own oxygen mask on before helping others. The basic idea is that if you're not able to support yourself, you're a detriment to others around you. The goal is to limit the amount of detriment being spread to others, thus providing them with the maximum amount of autonomy.
This primary goal of autonomy places significant emphasis on each individual being personally responsible for their own decisions. Many times people make bad decisions (like paying $30k+/yr to go to college and get a useless degree which will likely land them a job at Starbuck's), which is fine to a libertarian as they have the right of autonomy. However, when that poor decision becomes a detriment to others and limits the autonomy of others (like asking people to subsidize that college kid who chose to spend $30k+/yr for a useless major), there is a problem. This doesn't mean that we just do everything completely independently, but it does mean that we put a high emphasis on personal responsibility and being held to the consequences of one's own decision. For an example, let's look at Perrotfish's analogy of the drowning man in various scenarios:
A man who can't swim is walking down a path and sees a lake. He knows he can't swim, but decides to start wading farther and farther out into the lake until suddenly he steps off a ledge. He is now drowning. A stranger who is sitting nearby sees the entire event happen. The question is "Is the stranger obligated to/should they attempt to rescue the drowning man?"
The answer to that question depends on the ideology of the individual answering. A pure libertarian would say "Of course not!", because the drowning man made a decision which led to the consequence of possibly drowning. Furthermore, the stranger is not obligated to put their own life at risk in order to save someone else. However, most people are not absolutists with their beliefs and would answer "it depends". Does the stranger know how to swim? How far out in the water is the drowning man? Is the drowning man significantly larger than the stranger/would his thrashing likely lead to both their death? Does the stranger know the drowning man can't swim? How does the stranger know the drowning man isn't faking? So most people who have time to think through the situation would probably say they need more information.
Let's change the scenario up a bit. This time the stranger is sitting by the shore and sees a man get physically thrown off a bridge by another person. The man hits the water and starts drowning. Again, the question is "Is the stranger obligated to/should they attempt to rescue the drowning man?". To which a pure libertarian would again respond "Of course not!", because even though the drowning man wasn't responsible for being in the situation of drowning, the stranger is still not obligated to put their life at risk. Like the last scenario, most people would say that it depends on the context of the situation as I described with the previous questions.
In both scenarios, the drowning man can represent a person in a poor situation, and the stranger actually represents autonomy (not the libertarian). By saying the stranger is obligated to try and save the drowning man (aka help someone in a poor situation), the libertarian is either putting their autonomy at risk or even worse giving it up. The first scenario described above can be an analogy for anyone in a poor situation as a result of their own decisions. People make stupid decisions that are completely in their control all the time, and I don't think it's very hard to understand the libertarian viewpoint of not wanting to give up their autonomy in those situations. The second scenario is an analogy for those who end up in a poor situation either through means they didn't have control over or because they were always in that situation. I think this is the aspect of pure libertarians saying "I'm not obligated to help" that most people don't get, but is really not that hard to understand if you understand that a libertarian values individual autonomy and free will of the individual (for every individual) above all else.
Now, that doesn't mean libertarians are against helping other people. In fact, the few people I know who openly identify as libertarian are actually some of the more compassionate and giving people I know. However, each one of them ensures that their own and their families lives are stable first. Something which is again abundant in nature and part of the natural psychology of most living things and not just humans (you protect your family and yourself first in emergencies and help others when you are able). So in a way, it's a system which abides more by the laws of nature and natural instinct/psychology/evolution/whatever you want to call it, than other systems which are modern constructs formed by abstract societal concepts, many of which attempt to fight the forces of nature. It's simply an acknowledgement of natural processes and an attempt to live within them rather than a constructed ideology.
The other aspect of this is that the libertarians I know wanted to provide aid to others, they just didn't want to be told how to do so. They had no problems donating to charities, school systems, providing scholarships, etc and were more than willing to take advice when someone said "this is a need in our community". However, they did not want to give their money to a government which they believe is inefficient and likely misappropriates much of it's funding, and they didn't want to be forced to give money to a cause they did not feel was aligned with their personal views. This goes back to that principle of autonomy of the individual, and being able to help others how they see fit instead of being mandated.
To bring this back full circle libertarian view on higher education, I'll talk about my personal opinion on it (as I think it probably aligns with many libertarians' views). I personally see our current higher education system as a failure, as well as much of our elementary and secondary education system. Not only because of sky-rocketing tuition or insane debt burdens, but because we now allow almost anyone to go to college (and in fact encourage everyone to go to college) regardless of whether they are legitimately qualified to attend college (which many aren't given that the average college freshman supposedly reads below what's considered a high school freshman reading level). So we send people to college who have no idea what they're going to do with their career, who frankly shouldn't even get accepted to college, charge them outrageous tuition which leads to so much debt many may never pay it off, and then expect taxpayers to foot part of the bill through subsidies and loan forgiveness? How does that make sense? To a libertarian it doesn't. To them, expecting the taxpayer or anyone to foot the bill of an individual who made a poor life decision is a violation of the taxpayers' individual autonomy, never mind the fact that those federal loans have only led to tuitions skyrocketing even higher which only further exacerbates the amount taxpayers will have to pay in the future.
Now you can suggest free higher education like Bernie wanted, but you still get the same problems from a libertarian point of view. You still have people attending college with no idea what they'll do upon graduation, many of whom will waste 4 years partying for a degree that doesn't matter, many of whom shouldn't get accepted to college in the first place, and then have them enter society with a watered down degree and end up as a barista at Starbuck's anyway, and on top of it charging the taxpayers even more money now because they're paying for the full tuition of everyone. The only difference the free ride makes is that the barista is now some person with no debt at the expense of living off of taxpayer dollars for 4 years instead of them being a college grad with no marketable skills and debt as the result of their own poor decisions. To the issue of people who are in poor situations through no fault of their own getting into college or medical school, there are better ways to approach the situation than a free ride for all or massive amounts of loan forgiveness. Unfortunately, most of those start with fixing the lower educational levels to ensure people are more intelligent and informed before applying for college, which is a whole other subject I'm not going to delve into right now.
As to the issue with PSLF, I personally think it's ridiculous for people making physician salary to have that option, even with the current cost of medical school. That program was meant for individuals seeking careers which pay so little that they would literally never get out of debt, like teachers. It was not meant for people making 6-figure salaries or more who would rather buy a nice house and care instead of living more prudently and paying off their debt. There's a huge difference between forgiving the loan of someone making $30k/yr (pre-tax, the average starting wage of teachers) who has $31k in debt (the average debt of a teacher) and can only reasonably put 2-3k (or less) towards loans each year vs. someone making $200k+/yr with $300k in debt who could reasonably put $100k or more towards loans each year. It's not only different for the person in debt, it's a huge difference for the debt collector and how much they're going to have to forgive (which ultimately comes out of taxpayers' wallets). When it comes down to it, I'm not personally against PSLF altogether, I just think it's ridiculous for medical students and doctors to think they'll be able to utilize it, or even that it's justified in the vast majority of cases. Imo, it's just a way for the physician to push their debt and personal responsibility onto others.
On a side note, sorry this was so long and got a bit off topic. I'd be happy to continue discussing the more philosophical points of political views or societal structures in PM or the SPF, but after this I'll be sticking to the PSLF aspect of the topic if I continue to post in this thread.