We have three trials that show APBI is a little worse than whole breast radiation. Whole breast radiation is well tolerated and at 3 weeks is pretty damn convenient for most women. It is indeed less convenient than 5 days, but... we’re curing cancer here, not Burger King. I don’t understand the push for APBI.
My guess is when you select APBI patients carefully enough like these trials, “no treatment” would be only a little worse than APBI. However, nothing is MUCH more convenient, cheaper, and less toxic. Like the ultimate. If you’re willing to tolerate “a little worse” cancer outcomes for convenience, you should probably be doing nothing.
Of course this is one way to look at it.
Let's recapitulate:
In terms of efficacy:
WBRT>PBI>nothing
The question is how big is the ">".
In carefully selected patients it's very small, perhaps non-existing berween WBRT and PBI. On the other hand, the better you select these patients, the smaller the ">" will become between PBI and nothing.
In less well selected patients and perhaps with a technique that covers "less" CTV (like Intrabeam) it can be quite big between WBRT and PBI, TARGIT showed that in certain subgroups.
In terms of potential side effects / costs / convenience for the patient:
nothing>PBI>WBRT
"Nothing" is a no-brainer, it's going to be better always. One point where "nothing" may be worse is psychological safety. Patients may opt to do something and not be comfortable with no treatment at all. PBI may be a good compromise there. Letting them do something without overtreating them.
PBI is still better in terms of costs & convenience as long as we do not have ultra-short WBRT-schedules well established. However, data will be maturing too for the UK trials and we may be able to offer WBRT with 5-6 fractions in a few years, meaning that these factors will no longer benefit PBI.
Potential side effects remain and will possibly always be better with PBI (which is moderately dosed, not like the RTOG bid-schedule!) than with WBRT. On the other hand modern techniques have made WBRT quite easy to deliver. Data from Import-Low do however show a small benefit with reduced volume RT in some subareas of cosmesis.
Choosing PBI is not wrong. It's a good compromise between efficacy and side effects / costs / convenience.