The 85% that you are quoting (I actually believe the
report from 2013 - the only one I know of that actually separate people in terms of the Carib island their school is on - shows a match rate of
67% for Grenada, if you have another source, please post it) is of those that actually graduate and apply, a number much smaller than those who start. <50% of people who start will match.
They aren't the only ones that have those agreements. Actually Ross, AUC, and even AUA have similar agreements with hospitals. The thing that you should realize is that those are constantly in flux. This is actually true for US MD and DO schools that don't have their own dedicated teaching hospitals as well, but those schools are under pressure from US accrediting agencies and federal education laws. Those spots seriously change year to year. Contracts end, prices go up, and people's rotations get dropped.
I don't believe you have done enough research on SGU having "enough" 3rd year spots, unless by "research" you mean you asked an SGU rep and they reassured you that this was the case.
I commend you on only considering SGU, because I agree of the Carib, anything outside of SGU, Ross, and AUC would be a just foolish. That doesn't mean its a good choice though.
There are many more recent stories. Goro has just had to post those same links multiple times, because without fail there are always applicants that haven't done enough research in this regard. I remember thxleave (you can check out posts here and on valuemd), who graduated from SGU in 2017 I believe. I remember him, because I actually remember his posts from when I was applying, and I remember thinking he was going to do fine and overcome the hurdles of being an SGU grad. He didn't match. He wasn't applying ortho by the way, it was psychiatry.
He's in a good place now (not working as a physician), but working in a job that he's happy with. If you want you can search the forums for his posts and see for yourself what can happen as an SGU grad with pretty good Step scores.
Don't know anything about Tameer, so won't comment.
I applied and got into SGU and Ross (never finished my apps for AUC, Saba and AUA). I was right there with you when I applied for med school. I'm glad I took the time and realized DO was the right choice. Since that time, honestly things have only gotten worse. SGU grads did better 10 yrs ago than they're doing now. Its unfortunate, but its the way things have changed with literally 10,000 more AMGs being added with much less GME expansion.
You haven't taken the MCAT yet, but are aiming for 500-505. You can probably do better if you really buckle down, study, and take more practice tests. I don't know what your GPA is like, but if you can do well on the MCAT and have >2.8 GPAs, its worth it to apply broadly DO before trying to take a shortcut with SGU. SGU will be there if you want them. Its honestly worth a year to try and stay stateside (on a side note, I probably wouldn't do an SMP, DO or MD, unless there's clear linkage and you know you'll do well). If you don't want to spend a multiple years, sure, that's up to you and I get it, just know what you're getting yourself into and don't be fooled by the hype.
You're disagreeing because you honestly don't have as much experience. I don't mean that as an insult. How could you get the experience as a pre-med? Its OK to not have experience, that's what life is for. That's also what this forum is for. Its here so you can gain from the experience of others.
As far as my experience, I know many SGU grads. I grew up with more than a handful (and about a handful of dropouts as well). I also work with grads from SGU, but also Saba and Ross. I also have a couple friends that I grew with that went to AUC, and I know a couple others that didn't make it through AUA.
As I alluded to above, I also went through the same process that you are. I also heard the same propaganda, about how "you can truly succeed at SGU", "it gives you an option to fulfill your dream", and all that jazz. I also interviewed with a local grad that was doing well in a subspecialty and made it seem like SGU was
the way to go (they actually pay these people a pretty penny to "interview" prospective SGU students). It was so much that if you actually hunt down some of my old posts from when I was applying, you'll see I was seriously considering Carib too.
It wasn't until I really dug into where SGU grads end up en masse, the potential hurdles being an IMG holds even from just a licensing standpoint, and the actual value of a Carib MD in the US and abroad (hint: its not anywhere close to as valuable as a US MD degree even though it sounds the same), that I realized it was the far more risky way to go. At the time, I actually knew far fewer DOs than Carib grads, which probably contributed to my apprehension of the degree.