When I was a kid a friend was telling me a story about how his dad raced home from work on his bike, in 5 minutes, to stop someone from kidnapping his sister. He was trying to make the point that his dad had a fast bike. In telling the story I realized he was describing the dad traveling between two points separated by about 50 miles, in L.A, in the afternoon on a weekday. "If you travel 50 miles in 5 minutes, that means 300 miles in 30 minutes and 600 miles in one hour. I don't think your dad has a bike that will go 600 miles in one hour in L.A. rush hour traffic." We stayed friends, but I stayed skeptical about his stories.
In the two studies we've been harping on, in one the axilla was irradiated and it saved 10 out of 1000 women (
1% decrease) from an axillary recurrence; in the other study, the axilla wasn't specifically irradiated and not irradiating the axilla saved 6 out of 1000 women (
0.6% decrease) from an axillary recurrence. This is a "gap" of 4 in 1000 women "hurt" by axillary non-irradiation. Use other studies/other data, slice it any way you want. You'll arrive at roughly similar numbers. Now we must also believe a few more things:
1) You must be the "catcher of the gap" for all axillary recurrences in your area. When you say "quite a few actually" this could be anywhere from 3 to 333; is it 10? If it's ten, this implies you have seen thousands upon thousands of breast cancer patients in your career. (I see about 100 a year.) Not impossible, but, it also implies that...
2) When any woman in the local geographic region has an axillary recurrence, she must come see you. (
Supposedly I can predict your region by your RNI proclivities.) You are an axillary irradiator. (You should also be seeing axillary recurrences in the women whose axillae you irradiate; about half or third as much... story for another time.) But somehow you are also seeing axillary recurrences in women not irradiated? So you're getting outside axillary recurrence consults, or are women self-referring to you?
3) You aren't telling about the pattern of the recurrence, which is important. Isolated? Co-recurrent with local disease? With distant disease? Are the recurrences still alive? I specified "isolated" axillary recurrence; because there must be some element of the
Halsted theory (and some incidence of isolated nodal failure) that can appertain to axillary irradiation to make it effective. It's the core of any argument for RNI.
4) We also don't know the number of women
who didn't get their axilla irradiated
who didn't have a recurrence
who didn't see you. The numerator is as important as the denominator. If you really are the guy who gets to see all the axillary recurrences in which you played no part, it may skew your worldview. And our view of your worldview.
5) If irradiating the axilla and nodes helps--
All I can say for those who are doing standard tangents alone - hope none of your patients recur in the Axilla or SCV.
I have seen axillary recurrences, quite a few actually. All in patients who did not have their axilla irradiated.
--no one tells the stories about who it hurts. Which is a real oversight. Per the two studies we've mentioned, doing RNI hurts about as many (or half as many) with a detectable toxicity as it helps. If you're doing a lot of RNI--extending it to all 1/1 SN+ patients e.g.--you're also causing increasing toxicity from that. In theory seeing as much toxicity in your own patient population as outside axillary recurrence consults from the heretical non-axillary-irradiators. If irradiating an axilla causes an excess 33 out of 1000 (
75/681 vs 57/744, a ~3.3% increase) contralateral breast cancers, but only gives a 4/1000, or 6/1000, or 10/1000, improvement in axillary recurrences as suggested above, why irradiate an axilla? You are literally doing more harm than good. Who knows why that is.
ALTTO also showed, depending on biology, RNI makes any recurrence more likely, distant recurrence significantly more likely.
To this day, there are no 600 mph bikes.