Sorry, I forgot the exact numbers. It's 87.2-88.4%.
99.61% is placement rate. Match rate is matching in a matching service. Placement is matching + SOAP + scramble.
I did the analysis last year, obviously no idea if its the same this year, but it probably is close.
Thank you so much man, I completely forgot where I posted that.
Placement rate for non-US IMGs is likely not much higher than that. For US IMGs it depends on the school. On average its probably around 70% since most grads come from the big 4.
You don't seem to be analyzing this info properly.
1. You should really be combining MD seniors and MD graduates, which would make the match rate closer to 90% and be comparable to the DO senior and graduate NRMP match rate of 81%. Yeah, DOs match at a lower rate. Big surprise.
2. Yeah, that's not true at all. Actually the majority of those 650 that don't SOAP (100-200 DOs SOAP each year) do/had access to the majority of open AOA spots. Virtually all will scramble into AOA spots, but many may only be TRIs.
3. They will be in the NRMP match most likely, and they would probably be accessible through the SOAP for a lot of DOs. The issue is that DOs are going to have to apply more smartly in the future. They won't have empty spots just sitting there for them.
They will have to apply to more places, have backup specialties, etc. That's honestly what they should already be doing. I personally had backups and less competitive spots on my ROL just out of fear. Fortunately I didn't get that far down, but at least I was covered if I did.
You don't seem to understand the difference between seniors and graduates. Many people graduate off-cycle or only land a TRI when they graduate. Those people have to apply next year or reapply for a categorical spot. Those are graduates and are typically less competitive because they either failed to match last year or had to take time off (like for a failed board exam). They could also include some competitive people that failed to match a AOA surgical specialty and decide to apply ACGME next year for EM, Anesthesia, Rads, etc.
That is different than a 5th year senior, which honestly is not an option for a lot of DOs, but is a better position to be in for the match.
Yeah, also its definitely not 0. It actually does reduce the overall DO NRMP match rate, as I demonstrated for 2016 (86.4-88.8% DO NRMP rate for seniors vs. 80.3% for both).
You're not analyzing the data properly. You're making a lot of assumptions that aren't well founded and then drawing conclusions from those assumptions.
For now, we have to wait for a real report to analyze this year's data. It's too early to know for sure at this point.