My point was a simple one and please don't make it seem more complicated than it is. Don't use Step 1 as a singular filter for the computer cut. That's it if you want to increase diversity. Who said board scores don't matter at all? Please don't attack a straw-man. My point is that we can do better with our filters and not that we should eliminate test scores altogether.
As for the studies, if the point was to be evidence-based, then let's be evdience-based instead of just reading titles:
USMLE step 1 scores as a significant predictor of future board passage in pediatrics.
McCaskill QE, Kirk JJ, Barata DM, Wludyka PS, Zenni EA, Chiu TT.
Ambul Pediatr. 2007 Mar-Apr;7(2):192-5.
Scores higher than 220 was correlated with higher pass rates. 220.
Is USMLE Step 1 score a valid predictor of success in surgical residency?
Sutton E, Richardson JD, Ziegler C, Bond J, Burke-Poole M, McMasters KM.
"...trainees with an average above the mean had a higher first-time pass rate (P = .04)." Above the mean was the comparator.
USMLE and Otolaryngology: Predicting Board Performance.
Puscas L, Chang CWD, Lee HJ, Diaz R, Miller R.
This study showed that Step 1 scores predicted a trend for passing the boards. However, the authors point out that their model was not very good at actually predicting a failure. In looking at the 402 residents with Step 1 and 2 scores, of whom 21 failed the WQE on the first attempt, the model only correctly predicted 4 of them as failing.
West J Emerg Med. 2017 Apr;18(3):544-549. doi: 10.5811/westjem.2016.12.32478. Epub 2017 Feb 7.
USMLE Scores Predict Success in ABEM Initial Certification: A Multicenter Study.
Step 1 score of 227, Step 2 CK score of 225 and composite score of 444 predicted a 95% chance of passing both boards. Also they found that Step 2 was a better predictor than Step 1.
General surgery resident remediation and attrition: a multi-institutional study.
Yaghoubian A, Galante J, Kaji A, Reeves M, Melcher M, Salim A, Dolich M, de Virgilio C.
Arch Surg. 2012 Sep;147(9):829-33. doi: 10.1001/archsurg.2012.1676.
This study does not even look at board pass rates. If the point is resident attrition, this is a study on surgical residents which is comparing apples to oranges.
United States Medical Licensing Examination Step 1 and 2 Scores Predict Neuroradiology Fellowship Success.
Yousem IJ, Liu L, Aygun N, Yousem DM.
J Am Coll Radiol. 2016 Apr;13(4):438-44.e2. doi: 10.1016/j.jacr.2015.10.024. Epub 2016 Feb 28.
This study is apples to oranges and the average step scores were lower than what are pushed in derm.
All these studies show that, yes, Step 1 is correlated with better board pass rates but these correlations should not be misconstrued. The scores that lead to this prediction are lower (close to the mean in multiple studies) than what we are looking at in derm and only bolsters my point that it's diminishing returns after a certain point. Also, the models are only modest correlations at best, showing that other factors should be taken into account along with test scores.
I think I've expressed my point and looks like some are taking it to mean that we should throw out test scores altogether. You read what you want to read. My point is that applications should be read beyond a computer cut on the Step 1 score to increase diversity. That's my point. Look at all of the applicants or just be up front and save applicants their money. If you are a staunch believer in Step 1 as a cutoff, prove it by posting it on your website instead of hiding behind anonymous debates on SDN. I personally do not believe that taking this approach will increase diversity though. The point of this thread was increasing diversity.
I'll let others have the last word on this one and thanks for engaging in the conversation.